The Grey Test: Three Questions for Decisions That Stay Muddy
When a decision refuses to clarify, the problem is usually not the answer. The problem is that you have not classified the question. The Grey Test is a three...
Knowledge topic
Decision Making
12 published knowledge pages on Decision Making.
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Decision Making -
Decision Making Minimal Clinically Important Difference: When the Gap Is Too Small to Matter
Minimal clinically important difference (MCID) is a concept from health outcomes research. It defines the smallest change in a measured outcome that a patien...
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Decision Making Two-Way Door Decisions: Jeff Bezos on Reversibility
Jeff Bezos introduced the one-way door / two-way door framework in his 1997 Amazon shareholder letter and has revisited it since. The core idea: most decisio...
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Decision Making The 40/70 Rule: Colin Powell's Decision-Making Threshold
Colin Powell's 40/70 rule offers a practical threshold for when to stop gathering information and commit to a decision. The principle: decide when you have b...
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Decision Making Hell Yes or No: Derek Sivers' Decision Framework
Derek Sivers popularized a deceptively simple decision rule: if something isn't a "hell yes," then it's a no. Most people treat this as a filter for incoming...
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Decision Making The Attention Cost of Books: Why Buying Isn't Reading
The sticker price of a book is trivial. The real cost is the 6 to 10 hours of focused attention required to actually read it. This mismatch between purchase ...
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Decision Making The Experience Audit: Tracing Goals to Their Experiential Root
The Experience Audit is a four-step process for checking whether the goal you are pursuing will actually deliver the experience you want. It works for busine...
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Decision Making AI as Thinking Partner: How Solo Builders Use LLMs for Decision-Making
The most valuable thing AI gives a solo builder is not speed. It is a second perspective. When every decision runs through one brain unchallenged, blind spot...
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Decision Making Clarity Creates Obligation: Why People Avoid Identifying What's True
The Real Reason You Say "It's Complicated"When you identify something clearly, you inherit an obligation to act on it. Your product does not have market fit....
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Decision Making Three-Question Test for AI Market Position
As AI compresses three-tier markets into a barbell shape, professionals need a quick way to assess whether their current position is sustainable. This three-...
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Decision Making Project Premortem for Solo Builders
A premortem is a simple planning exercise: assume the project failed, then list the most plausible reasons before reality has to teach them to you. For solo ...
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Decision Making The Planning Fallacy and the Outside View
The planning fallacy is the tendency to underestimate how long a task will take, even when similar work has gone late before. The outside view is the fix: es...